Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 85.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 56.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.0%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Dowd
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Dowd
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Dowd
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Dowd
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
50.7% (906)
-1.5%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
48.1% (108)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
44.4% (239)
-0.4%
On power play, Dowd has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Dowd shoots right. Bjugstad is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bjugstad
Home
46.3% (492)
49.8% (643)
Away
49.8% (532)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Dowd
Bjugstad
P1
49.1%
49.4%
P2
48.2%
50.5%
P3
46.9%
47.9%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 08:01 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |