Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 77.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 54.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 59.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Dowd
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dowd
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
49.4% (867)
+5.8%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
56.0% (25)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
40.7% (216)
-2.5%
On even strength, Dowd has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Dowd shoots right. Bjugstad is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bjugstad
Home
53.7% (445)
46.5% (480)
Away
47.7% (407)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Dowd
Bjugstad
P1
48.8%
48.7%
P2
49.3%
45.6%
P3
54.0%
49.1%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |