Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 62.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 72.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Dowd
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
48.9% (280)
+2.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
50.0% (6)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
47.2% (36)
-5.6%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Dowd shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bjugstad
Home
48.6% (451)
48.4% (190)
Away
49.5% (416)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Dowd
Bjugstad
P1
49.1%
41.7%
P2
47.3%
56.6%
P3
51.4%
48.7%
OT
30.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%