Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Paul 53.3% (-5.1%)
Offensive zone
Paul 80.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 78.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Dowd
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
53.2% (327)
-1.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
61.4% (57)
-61.4%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
50.0% (32)
-8.4%
On power play, Paul has a +61.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Dowd shoots right. Paul is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Dowd
Paul
Home
48.6% (451)
54.6% (183)
Away
49.5% (416)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Dowd
Paul
P1
49.1%
56.3%
P2
47.3%
54.8%
P3
51.4%
52.4%
OT
30.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.1%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%