Nic Dowd vs Nick Paul

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nick Paul holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dowd 50.7% vs Paul 52.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor Dowd leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone Paul 95.1%
Defensive zone Dowd 64.6%
Neutral zone Paul 57.0%
Result Nick Paul favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Dowd Paul
Head-to-Head Record
16 - 12 (28 meetings)
16
12
Dowd Paul
Last 10: Dowd 7-3 Paul

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Dowd Paul
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
10
3
Dowd Paul
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
5
Dowd Paul
7 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dowd
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
52.5% (3,796)
-0.1%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
56.5% (480)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
46.7% (574)
-2.6%

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Paul shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Dowd shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Home / Away
Dowd
Paul
Home
51.9% (3,897)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Dowd
Paul
P1
51.7%
53.9%
P2
50.4%
51.0%
P3
50.3%
52.0%
OT
45.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%
48.0%
50.7%
Paul
54.0%
54.0%
52.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 1, 2025 3 06:08 Neutral Nic Dowd
Mar 1, 2025 1 07:19 Defensive Nic Dowd
Oct 26, 2024 3 18:21 Defensive Nic Dowd
Apr 13, 2024 3 18:08 Defensive Nic Dowd
Apr 13, 2024 3 05:28 Defensive Nic Dowd
Apr 13, 2024 1 11:04 Offensive Nick Paul
Dec 23, 2023 3 14:20 Defensive Nic Dowd
Dec 23, 2023 2 16:56 Defensive Nic Dowd
Mar 30, 2023 3 16:28 Neutral Nick Paul
Nov 13, 2022 3 05:03 Offensive Nick Paul
Nov 11, 2022 3 09:26 Defensive Nic Dowd
Nov 11, 2022 3 07:59 Offensive Nick Paul
Nov 11, 2022 2 09:56 Neutral Nick Paul
Apr 6, 2022 2 19:56 Offensive Nic Dowd
Feb 13, 2022 3 06:07 Neutral Nick Paul
Feb 13, 2022 3 03:10 Offensive Nic Dowd
Feb 13, 2022 3 00:06 Neutral Nic Dowd
Feb 13, 2022 3 00:00 Neutral Nick Paul
Feb 13, 2022 2 11:45 Defensive Nic Dowd
Feb 13, 2022 2 02:03 Neutral Nick Paul