Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +53.7% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Cates 46.7% (+53.7%)
Offensive zone
Cates 75.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 87.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Dowd
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
0.0% (6)
+55.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
0.0% (1)
+45.5%
On even strength, Dowd has a +55.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Dowd shoots right. Cates is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (4).
Home / Away
Dowd
Cates
Home
58.2% (462)
0.0% (5)
Away
49.3% (481)
0.0% (2)
By Period
Dowd
Cates
P1
55.6%
0.0%
P2
50.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
0.0%