Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Cates 45.8% (+3.6%)
Offensive zone
Cates 88.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 68.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Dowd
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
44.3% (271)
+4.9%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
77.8% (18)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
31.7% (41)
+12.3%
On power play, Cates has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Dowd
Cates
Home
46.3% (492)
52.0% (148)
Away
49.8% (532)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Dowd
Cates
P1
49.1%
42.7%
P2
48.2%
42.9%
P3
46.9%
48.5%
Final 5 min
45.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%