Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.5% vs Cates 45.2% (+5.0%)
Offensive zone
Cates 80.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 80.1%
Neutral zone
Cates 52.8%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Dowd
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (485)
44.2% (566)
+9.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
44.0% (84)
-44.0%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (186)
50.0% (38)
-10.2%
On power play, Cates has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Dowd is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Dowd shoots right. Cates is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Dowd
Cates
Home
48.5% (307)
45.1% (350)
Away
50.3% (366)
43.8% (338)
By Period
Dowd
Cates
P1
50.7%
46.8%
P2
49.1%
46.5%
P3
49.6%
40.8%
OT
30.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Cates
56.0%▲
46.5%
44.5%