Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Brown 51.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 84.7%
Defensive zone
Brown 50.1%
Neutral zone
Brown 50.5%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Dowd
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dowd
Brown
Last 5: Dowd 3-2 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Brown
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Dowd
Brown
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Brown
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
52.8% (284)
+2.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
75.0% (4)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
49.0% (51)
-10.8%
On power play, Brown has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Dowd shoots right. Brown is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Dowd
Brown
Home
53.7% (445)
53.5% (144)
Away
47.7% (407)
51.8% (195)
By Period
Dowd
Brown
P1
48.8%
49.0%
P2
49.3%
48.7%
P3
54.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
49.8%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |