Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Brown 48.6% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 87.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 65.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Dowd
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dowd
Brown
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Brown
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Dowd
Brown
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
43.6% (39)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
60.0% (5)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Brown has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Dowd shoots right. Brown is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Dowd
Brown
Home
51.5% (619)
55.6% (9)
Away
48.1% (576)
42.9% (35)
By Period
Dowd
Brown
P1
51.7%
18.2%
P2
51.6%
58.8%
P3
47.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |