Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Brown 48.9% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Brown 87.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 73.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 61.9%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Dowd
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
44.4% (27)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
50.0% (6)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Brown has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Dowd shoots right. Brown is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Dowd
Brown
Home
46.3% (492)
37.5% (8)
Away
49.8% (532)
48.0% (25)
By Period
Dowd
Brown
P1
49.1%
54.5%
P2
48.2%
40.0%
P3
46.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.7%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
45.5%