Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 35 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Zacha 49.1% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 44-40 in 84 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 92.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 78.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 56.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Dowd
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
44
-
40
(84 meetings)
44
40
Dowd
Zacha
Last 10: Dowd 7-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
7
28
Dowd
Zacha
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
29
6
Dowd
Zacha
35 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
8
6
Dowd
Zacha
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
48.9% (5,102)
+3.5%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
55.6% (804)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
42.2% (555)
+1.9%
On even strength, Dowd has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Dowd shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Home / Away
Dowd
Zacha
Home
51.9% (3,897)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Dowd
Zacha
P1
51.7%
49.9%
P2
50.4%
49.2%
P3
50.3%
48.1%
OT
45.9%
53.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:11 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2024 | OT | 00:15 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 11:23 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |