Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Zacha 50.1% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 69.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 90.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 73.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Dowd
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Dowd
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
48.0% (296)
+7.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
61.0% (59)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
50.0% (22)
-4.5%
On even strength, Dowd has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Dowd shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Dowd
Zacha
Home
58.2% (462)
48.9% (223)
Away
49.3% (481)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Dowd
Zacha
P1
55.6%
47.9%
P2
50.5%
48.3%
P3
53.9%
54.3%
OT
75.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.1%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |