Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Zacha 46.5% (+5.5%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 93.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 74.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Dowd
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
45.3% (247)
+9.9%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
58.1% (31)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
22.2% (18)
+16.0%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Dowd shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Dowd
Zacha
Home
53.7% (445)
39.7% (131)
Away
47.7% (407)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Dowd
Zacha
P1
48.8%
42.9%
P2
49.3%
46.4%
P3
54.0%
42.3%
OT
44.4%
87.5%
Final 5 min
49.8%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%