Nic Dowd vs Pavel Zacha

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Pavel Zacha holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dowd 49.1% vs Zacha 51.7% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone Zacha 71.8%
Defensive zone Dowd 75.2%
Neutral zone Dowd 50.5%
Result Nic Dowd favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Dowd Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dowd
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
53.3% (646)
-1.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
53.0% (100)
-53.0%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
38.9% (72)
+2.7%
On power play, Zacha has a +53.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Dowd shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Dowd
Zacha
Home
48.6% (451)
51.7% (410)
Away
49.5% (416)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Dowd
Zacha
P1
49.1%
57.7%
P2
47.3%
48.9%
P3
51.4%
50.2%
OT
30.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
48.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%
48.0%
49.0%
Zacha
46.0%
50.5%
52.0%