Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.5% vs Hintz 57.8% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 97.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 50.0%
Neutral zone
Hintz 83.9%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Dowd
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Dowd
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (485)
58.9% (514)
-5.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
57.6% (158)
-57.6%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (186)
66.7% (27)
-26.9%
On power play, Hintz has a +57.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Dowd is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Dowd shoots right. Hintz is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hintz
Home
48.5% (307)
59.8% (326)
Away
50.3% (366)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Dowd
Hintz
P1
50.7%
57.9%
P2
49.1%
59.8%
P3
49.6%
58.2%
OT
30.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Hintz
70.0%▲
61.5%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |