Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.0%). Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dowd wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Hintz 52.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 89.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.3%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Dowd
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dowd
Hintz
Last 6: Dowd 3-3 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
3
Dowd
Hintz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
52.9% (526)
+2.5%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
57.4% (108)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
42.5% (40)
+3.0%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Dowd shoots right. Hintz is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hintz
Home
58.2% (462)
53.8% (329)
Away
49.3% (481)
52.2% (345)
By Period
Dowd
Hintz
P1
55.6%
55.6%
P2
50.5%
53.0%
P3
53.9%
51.7%
OT
75.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
53.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Hintz
70.0%▲
61.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |