Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Hintz 55.3% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 81.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 88.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 70.5%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Dowd
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dowd
Hintz
Last 5: Dowd 1-4 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
3
Dowd
Hintz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
56.3% (512)
-7.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
63.3% (30)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
45.8% (24)
-1.8%
On even strength, Hintz has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Hintz is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hintz
Home
46.3% (492)
57.3% (262)
Away
49.8% (532)
55.3% (304)
By Period
Dowd
Hintz
P1
49.1%
54.8%
P2
48.2%
56.0%
P3
46.9%
57.5%
OT
71.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 12:37 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |