Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Hintz 53.8% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 94.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 79.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.0%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Dowd
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
14
(27 meetings)
13
14
Dowd
Hintz
Last 10: Dowd 7-3 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
4
12
Dowd
Hintz
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
7
1
Dowd
Hintz
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd
Hintz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
53.8% (3,722)
-1.4%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
55.4% (567)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
52.9% (221)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Dowd shoots right. Hintz is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,728).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hintz
Home
51.9% (3,897)
54.9% (2,317)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
Dowd
Hintz
P1
51.7%
55.5%
P2
50.4%
53.9%
P3
50.3%
52.7%
OT
45.9%
49.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 12:37 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:53 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |