Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Hintz 51.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 93.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 78.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 64.5%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 81.5%
18.5%
81.5%
Dowd
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dowd
Hintz
Last 6: Dowd 2-4 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
4
Dowd
Hintz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
52.6% (439)
+2.6%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
37.9% (29)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
63.6% (11)
-25.4%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Dowd shoots right. Hintz is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hintz
Home
53.7% (445)
53.5% (256)
Away
47.7% (407)
50.2% (223)
By Period
Dowd
Hintz
P1
48.8%
59.5%
P2
49.3%
49.2%
P3
54.0%
47.1%
OT
44.4%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.8%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:53 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |