Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Hintz 53.5% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 97.7%
Defensive zone
Hintz 57.1%
Neutral zone
Hintz 58.9%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
Dowd
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Dowd
Hintz
Last 8: Dowd 5-3 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dowd
Hintz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
1
Dowd
Hintz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
53.6% (711)
-1.4%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
53.8% (93)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
58.7% (46)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Dowd shoots right. Hintz is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hintz
Home
51.5% (619)
52.6% (460)
Away
48.1% (576)
55.4% (390)
By Period
Dowd
Hintz
P1
51.7%
59.0%
P2
51.6%
52.7%
P3
47.0%
51.1%
OT
22.2%
20.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |