Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs McLeod 47.7% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 84.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 77.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 52.6%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 74.0%
26.0%
74.0%
Dowd
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Dowd
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Dowd
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
47.8% (448)
+7.6%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
48.1% (52)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
36.0% (25)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Dowd shoots right. McLeod is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Dowd
McLeod
Home
58.2% (462)
46.6% (253)
Away
49.3% (481)
47.8% (272)
By Period
Dowd
McLeod
P1
55.6%
43.9%
P2
50.5%
45.9%
P3
53.9%
52.1%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2022 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 1 | 07:04 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |