Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs McLeod 50.7% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 90.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 76.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 57.2%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Dowd
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Dowd
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Dowd
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
51.3% (628)
-2.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
68.3% (41)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
30.6% (49)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. McLeod is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Dowd
McLeod
Home
46.3% (492)
51.5% (394)
Away
49.8% (532)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Dowd
McLeod
P1
49.1%
51.5%
P2
48.2%
47.0%
P3
46.9%
54.3%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:10 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |