Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs McLeod 52.1% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 76.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 60.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 60.2%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Dowd
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Dowd
McLeod
Last 10: Dowd 4-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
8
Dowd
McLeod
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
0
Dowd
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
52.9% (904)
-0.7%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
57.6% (59)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
49.0% (241)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Dowd shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Dowd
McLeod
Home
51.5% (619)
51.8% (612)
Away
48.1% (576)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Dowd
McLeod
P1
51.7%
55.4%
P2
51.6%
50.8%
P3
47.0%
51.6%
OT
22.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 07:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:37 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:11 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |