Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs McLeod 48.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 94.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 63.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Dowd
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dowd
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Dowd
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
49.0% (500)
+6.2%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
43.8% (48)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
44.0% (50)
-5.8%
On power play, Dowd has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Dowd shoots right. McLeod is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Dowd
McLeod
Home
53.7% (445)
50.9% (291)
Away
47.7% (407)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Dowd
McLeod
P1
48.8%
44.3%
P2
49.3%
52.4%
P3
54.0%
47.8%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |