Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs McLeod 47.8% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 66.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 71.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Dowd
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dowd
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
49.2% (796)
+2.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
44.8% (87)
-44.8%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
43.3% (263)
-1.7%
On power play, McLeod has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Dowd shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Dowd
McLeod
Home
48.6% (451)
49.2% (575)
Away
49.5% (416)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Dowd
McLeod
P1
49.1%
52.8%
P2
47.3%
45.1%
P3
51.4%
45.6%
OT
30.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 18:02 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |