Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Dowd wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Bennett 47.2% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 88.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 84.4%
Neutral zone
Bennett 51.9%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Dowd
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Dowd
Bennett
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
6
Dowd
Bennett
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dowd
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
0
Dowd
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
45.5% (756)
+9.9%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
63.0% (92)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
31.0% (29)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Dowd shoots right. Bennett is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bennett
Home
58.2% (462)
46.5% (456)
Away
49.3% (481)
47.3% (421)
By Period
Dowd
Bennett
P1
55.6%
46.6%
P2
50.5%
50.5%
P3
53.9%
43.5%
OT
75.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.1%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 07:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:55 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |