Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.2%). Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Bennett 48.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 84.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Dowd
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Dowd
Bennett
Last 9: Dowd 4-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
3
Dowd
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
0
Dowd
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
2
Dowd
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
46.4% (780)
+5.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
57.3% (150)
-57.3%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
47.8% (46)
-6.2%
On power play, Bennett has a +57.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Dowd shoots right. Bennett is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bennett
Home
48.6% (451)
50.3% (519)
Away
49.5% (416)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Dowd
Bennett
P1
49.1%
47.5%
P2
47.3%
46.6%
P3
51.4%
49.8%
OT
30.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:11 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:33 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |