Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Bennett 46.6% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 90.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 63.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Dowd
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Dowd
Bennett
Last 6: Dowd 5-1 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
0
Dowd
Bennett
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Dowd
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
46.5% (909)
+5.7%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
43.1% (51)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
38.5% (13)
+5.5%
On power play, Dowd has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Dowd shoots right. Bennett is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (316).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bennett
Home
51.5% (619)
45.4% (449)
Away
48.1% (576)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Dowd
Bennett
P1
51.7%
49.6%
P2
51.6%
43.7%
P3
47.0%
45.1%
OT
22.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 15:27 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |