Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Bennett 47.3% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 93.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 70.5%
Neutral zone
Bennett 53.5%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Dowd
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dowd
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Dowd
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
48.2% (766)
+7.0%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
45.1% (82)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
33.9% (56)
+4.3%
On power play, Dowd has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Dowd shoots right. Bennett is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bennett
Home
53.7% (445)
49.1% (458)
Away
47.7% (407)
44.8% (446)
By Period
Dowd
Bennett
P1
48.8%
47.9%
P2
49.3%
47.2%
P3
54.0%
46.4%
OT
44.4%
20.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |