Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Bennett 45.9% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 92.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 82.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 69.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Dowd
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Dowd
Bennett
Last 6: Dowd 5-1 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Dowd
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
0
Dowd
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
44.7% (772)
+4.5%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
56.9% (58)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
42.9% (28)
+1.1%
On even strength, Dowd has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Bennett is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bennett
Home
46.3% (492)
48.5% (447)
Away
49.8% (532)
42.1% (411)
By Period
Dowd
Bennett
P1
49.1%
47.1%
P2
48.2%
45.8%
P3
46.9%
42.9%
OT
71.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 16:38 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 09:36 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 06:06 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |