Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Carrick 49.5% (+4.3%)
Offensive zone
Carrick 62.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 69.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Dowd
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
48.9% (352)
+6.5%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
81.3% (16)
-24.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
42.2% (45)
+3.3%
On power play, Carrick has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Dowd shoots right. Carrick is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Dowd
Carrick
Home
58.2% (462)
46.9% (192)
Away
49.3% (481)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Dowd
Carrick
P1
55.6%
48.1%
P2
50.5%
50.0%
P3
53.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%