Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Carrick 49.5% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Carrick 78.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 60.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.4%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Dowd
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
49.2% (307)
+6.0%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
66.7% (6)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
48.2% (56)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Dowd shoots right. Carrick is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Dowd
Carrick
Home
53.7% (445)
50.3% (175)
Away
47.7% (407)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Dowd
Carrick
P1
48.8%
41.0%
P2
49.3%
51.2%
P3
54.0%
55.3%
Final 5 min
49.8%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%