Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Carrick 53.7% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 72.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 54.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Dowd
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dowd
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Dowd
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
53.8% (654)
-1.6%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
0.0% (2)
+60.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
63.9% (36)
-19.9%
On power play, Dowd has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Dowd shoots right. Carrick is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Dowd
Carrick
Home
51.5% (619)
50.0% (328)
Away
48.1% (576)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Dowd
Carrick
P1
51.7%
56.7%
P2
51.6%
51.1%
P3
47.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |