Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.6%). Look for Reinhart on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Reinhart 50.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 92.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 60.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.6%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 92.6%
7.4%
92.6%
Dowd
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Dowd
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
4
Dowd
Reinhart
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
49.4% (259)
+5.8%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
54.4% (136)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
47.9% (71)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Dowd shoots right. Reinhart is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Dowd
Reinhart
Home
53.7% (445)
54.9% (235)
Away
47.7% (407)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Dowd
Reinhart
P1
48.8%
52.3%
P2
49.3%
50.0%
P3
54.0%
50.0%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.8%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 07:04 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |