Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Reinhart 45.1% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 94.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 52.6%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 64.9%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 94.0%
6.0%
94.0%
Dowd
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dowd
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
2
Dowd
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
44.6% (345)
+4.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
43.3% (97)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
43.2% (88)
+0.8%
On power play, Dowd has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Dowd shoots right. Reinhart is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Dowd
Reinhart
Home
46.3% (492)
47.9% (267)
Away
49.8% (532)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Dowd
Reinhart
P1
49.1%
45.6%
P2
48.2%
42.0%
P3
46.9%
45.4%
OT
71.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 14:52 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |