Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Couturier 54.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 73.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 74.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.5%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Dowd
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Dowd
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Dowd
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Dowd
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
57.4% (303)
-2.0%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
65.5% (55)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
40.0% (70)
+5.5%
On power play, Couturier has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Dowd shoots right. Couturier is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Dowd
Couturier
Home
58.2% (462)
54.3% (219)
Away
49.3% (481)
56.9% (209)
By Period
Dowd
Couturier
P1
55.6%
53.2%
P2
50.5%
54.8%
P3
53.9%
57.9%
OT
75.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
53.1%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 14:25 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |