Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 39 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Couturier 52.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 53-36 in 89 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 81.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 78.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 65.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Dowd
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
53
(89 meetings)
36
53
Dowd
Couturier
Last 10: Dowd 7-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
36
Dowd
Couturier
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
25
5
Dowd
Couturier
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
8
12
Dowd
Couturier
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
52.5% (11,063)
-0.1%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
59.7% (1,280)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
48.5% (1,816)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Dowd shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,245).
Home / Away
Dowd
Couturier
Home
51.9% (3,897)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Dowd
Couturier
P1
51.7%
52.5%
P2
50.4%
52.6%
P3
50.3%
52.9%
OT
45.9%
49.4%
Final 5 min
50.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 07:36 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 02:02 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:24 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 05:10 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |