Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Couturier 53.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 93.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 79.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.6%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Dowd
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Dowd
Couturier
Last 10: Dowd 4-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
7
Dowd
Couturier
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
7
1
Dowd
Couturier
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dowd
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
53.8% (1,003)
-4.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
56.4% (202)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
42.7% (89)
+1.3%
On even strength, Couturier has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Couturier is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Dowd
Couturier
Home
46.3% (492)
54.4% (680)
Away
49.8% (532)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Dowd
Couturier
P1
49.1%
56.3%
P2
48.2%
51.8%
P3
46.9%
52.2%
OT
71.4%
60.9%
Final 5 min
45.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:17 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:29 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:06 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |