Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Couturier 55.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 90.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 74.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.5%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Dowd
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Dowd
Couturier
Last 10: Dowd 6-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
8
Dowd
Couturier
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
6
1
Dowd
Couturier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dowd
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
55.1% (1,008)
-2.9%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
64.1% (142)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
53.3% (45)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Dowd shoots right. Couturier is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Dowd
Couturier
Home
51.5% (619)
58.1% (609)
Away
48.1% (576)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Dowd
Couturier
P1
51.7%
55.3%
P2
51.6%
55.8%
P3
47.0%
57.4%
OT
22.2%
45.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:24 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 05:10 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:11 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 07:30 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |