Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Couturier 53.2% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 76.3%
Defensive zone
Couturier 51.4%
Neutral zone
Couturier 61.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Dowd
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Dowd
Couturier
Last 7: Dowd 4-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Dowd
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
53.4% (758)
-1.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
62.9% (70)
-62.9%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
50.7% (227)
-9.1%
On power play, Couturier has a +62.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Dowd shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Dowd
Couturier
Home
48.6% (451)
50.7% (517)
Away
49.5% (416)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Dowd
Couturier
P1
49.1%
55.2%
P2
47.3%
53.0%
P3
51.4%
53.3%
OT
30.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
52.1%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 07:36 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 02:02 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |