Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dowd wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 55.5% vs Kuraly 55.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuraly 71.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 63.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 56.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Dowd
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Dowd
Kuraly
Last 10: Dowd 7-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
0
Dowd
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Dowd
Kuraly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (617)
58.4% (310)
-0.2%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
66.7% (6)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (144)
53.0% (83)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dowd is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Dowd shoots right. Kuraly is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Dowd
Kuraly
Home
58.4% (399)
57.1% (184)
Away
53.9% (369)
57.7% (215)
By Period
Dowd
Kuraly
P1
59.0%
56.0%
P2
56.1%
56.6%
P3
54.6%
58.0%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
62.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
56.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 07:33 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |