Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Kuraly 50.1% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 60.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 56.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 57.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Dowd
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dowd
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
51.8% (444)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
45.3% (150)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Dowd shoots right. Kuraly is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Dowd
Kuraly
Home
48.6% (451)
54.6% (304)
Away
49.5% (416)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Dowd
Kuraly
P1
49.1%
55.2%
P2
47.3%
45.7%
P3
51.4%
49.5%
OT
30.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |