Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 72.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 58.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 64.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Dowd
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Dowd
Kuraly
Last 6: Dowd 2-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
6
Dowd
Kuraly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
55.3% (515)
-3.1%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
55.6% (9)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
44.8% (58)
-0.8%
On power play, Dowd has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Dowd shoots right. Kuraly is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Dowd
Kuraly
Home
51.5% (619)
57.3% (293)
Away
48.1% (576)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Dowd
Kuraly
P1
51.7%
53.8%
P2
51.6%
51.5%
P3
47.0%
57.6%
OT
22.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 05:39 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |