Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 68.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 71.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.5%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Dowd
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dowd
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
49.2% (901)
+6.0%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
68.2% (22)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
49.8% (219)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Dowd shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Dowd
Kuraly
Home
53.7% (445)
51.7% (603)
Away
47.7% (407)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Dowd
Kuraly
P1
48.8%
50.9%
P2
49.3%
49.5%
P3
54.0%
49.1%
OT
44.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |