Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 78.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 60.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Dowd
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dowd
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Dowd
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
49.4% (445)
-0.2%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
100.0% (3)
-41.7%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
41.9% (117)
+2.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Kuraly is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Dowd
Kuraly
Home
46.3% (492)
49.2% (248)
Away
49.8% (532)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Dowd
Kuraly
P1
49.1%
48.3%
P2
48.2%
44.7%
P3
46.9%
51.7%
Final 5 min
45.7%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:55 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |