Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dowd wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuraly 54.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 57.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 62.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Dowd
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Dowd
Kuraly
Last 10: Dowd 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
3
Dowd
Kuraly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
0
Dowd
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
1
Dowd
Kuraly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
52.3% (982)
+3.1%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
41.9% (43)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
39.2% (245)
+6.3%
On power play, Dowd has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Dowd shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Dowd
Kuraly
Home
58.2% (462)
50.3% (680)
Away
49.3% (481)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Dowd
Kuraly
P1
55.6%
49.5%
P2
50.5%
49.6%
P3
53.9%
49.0%
OT
75.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.1%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 15:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 07:34 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |