Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.1%). Dowd wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Monahan 52.8% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 86.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 84.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Dowd
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dowd
Monahan
Last 5: Dowd 3-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Dowd
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
51.5% (641)
+3.9%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
62.8% (129)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
33.3% (9)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Dowd shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Dowd
Monahan
Home
58.2% (462)
53.9% (362)
Away
49.3% (481)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Dowd
Monahan
P1
55.6%
48.0%
P2
50.5%
57.0%
P3
53.9%
54.1%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |