Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Monahan 53.9% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 89.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 76.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Dowd
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Dowd
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Dowd
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
54.5% (231)
+0.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
58.2% (67)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
52.2% (23)
-14.0%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Dowd shoots right. Monahan is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Dowd
Monahan
Home
53.7% (445)
53.5% (144)
Away
47.7% (407)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Dowd
Monahan
P1
48.8%
52.5%
P2
49.3%
50.9%
P3
54.0%
60.8%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:56 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |