Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Monahan 54.5% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 86.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 84.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 62.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Dowd
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Dowd
Monahan
Last 7: Dowd 2-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
4
Dowd
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Dowd
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
57.1% (871)
-7.9%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
53.1% (262)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
44.6% (139)
-0.6%
On even strength, Monahan has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Dowd
Monahan
Home
46.3% (492)
55.3% (644)
Away
49.8% (532)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Dowd
Monahan
P1
49.1%
53.9%
P2
48.2%
55.3%
P3
46.9%
54.4%
OT
71.4%
76.5%
Final 5 min
45.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 06:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |